Toncoin’s price prediction 2025: How high can it go?

The world of cryptocurrency is never dull, as coins like Toncoin (TON) show significant volatility. Originally launched from Telegram, this digital asset has been on a ride full of highs, lows, and unexpected turns. If you’ve been following its journey, you know it’s been anything but predictable. With its unique origins and growing adoption, Toncoin has drawn interest from both retail investors and large-scale holders alike, making its trajectory a topic of much debate.

Toncoin’s sharp drop and whale activity

Last week, Toncoin took a hit, in mid-January dropping from highs of $5.63, to current lows of around $3.22. For those who enjoyed the surge just months ago, the recent dip has been a reality check. 

But what’s behind this sudden shift? Large holders, known as “whales,” moved 1.43 million TON tokens out of their wallets in early February, shaking up the market. Whether this signals a deeper trend or just regular trading activity remains to be seen, but investors are paying close attention. 

Some speculate that these movements could be linked to liquidity management strategies, while others fear that major players are offloading their holdings ahead of a potential market downturn.

At the moment, Toncoin hovers around $3.22, with a daily trading volume of $263.82 million and a market cap of $8.07B billion. These figures show that despite the turbulence, the market remains active and engaged. The question now is whether Toncoin will stabilize or face further declines as market sentiment continues to evolve.

Toncoin forecast: Uncertain future or a strong comeback?

Opinions are split. Some analysts predict a strong rebound, with forecasts of potential gains exceeding 90%. They argue that Toncoin’s fundamentals, including its strong association with Telegram, give it a unique advantage in the competitive crypto landscape. With the messaging app boasting millions of active users, integration with Telegram’s ecosystem could provide Toncoin with an organic user base and real-world utility, driving long-term adoption.

On the other hand, skeptics urge caution. Crypto markets are notoriously unpredictable-much like a surprise message from an old contact that leaves you wondering what’s next. They argue that without clear utility and consistent demand, Toncoin could struggle to maintain momentum. If you’re considering an investment, it’s always wise to weigh the risks alongside the potential rewards.

Several key factors will determine Toncoin’s fate. Whale movements continue to influence market trends, while overall sentiment in the crypto community plays a crucial role in price stability. Telegram, as the platform behind Toncoin, could also impact its value with any major announcements regarding partnerships, integrations, or new use cases for the token. Additionally, broader market trends and macroeconomic conditions will play a role. If risk appetite in the crypto space declines due to external factors such as interest rate hikes or regulatory crackdowns, Toncoin may face additional headwinds.

So, is Toncoin out of the game? Not necessarily. Despite recent turbulence, its fundamentals suggest it’s still a contender according to experts. Like any good comeback story, the next chapter could depend on how the market reacts and whether investors stay the course. If Telegram continues to integrate Toncoin into its ecosystem, there’s a strong case to be made for long-term growth.

At the time of writing, TONUSD is hovering around the $3.22 mark after a sharp price decline. Bearish bias is evident as prices remain below the moving average suggesting that the longer-term trend is still going south. However, prices being close to the lower bollinger band at the RSI hint at oversold conditions-suggesting that a bounce could be in the offing. RSI edging down towards oversold levels, also adds to the narrative.

Buyers could face a hurdle at the $3.600 and the $3.892 price levels. On the downside, sellers could be held at the $3.000 price level.

TONCOIN’s price action will be interesting to follow over the coming weeks. You can follow all the action with a Deriv MT5, Deriv cTrader, or a Deriv X account. Log in now to take advantage of the indicators, or sign up for a free demo account. The demo account comes with virtual funds so you can practise analysing trends risk-free