Market news – Week 4, June 2022

June 20, 2022
抽象的比特币标志,在简单白色背景上呈现融化的黄金外观。

由于美联储宣布加息,加密货币经历了历史上最糟糕的一周之一。 然而,由于这一公告,其他市场也遭遇了挫折。

Forex

Deriv 的 GBP/USD 走势图
资料来源:彭博社

Although the core inflation result for May 2022 came in as expected and strengthened the Euro, the currency does not seem to be reversing its long-term plunge. 这进一步加重了欧洲中央银行 (ECB) 的通胀压力,因为它面临着欧元贬值的担忧。 On the other hand, the continued strengthening of the US dollar has caused the EUR/USD pair to close the week in the negative territory. 

As seen in the chart above, after starting the week on a downtrend and falling to $1.1971, the GBP/USD pair experienced a short-term rally on Thursday, 16 June 2022, and prices reached a three-day high of around $1.2381. Furthermore, the release of disappointing US macro data weakened the greenback and served as support to the declining GBP/USD pair. 

此外,由于美联储和英格兰银行 (BoE) 于上周末发布的货币政策声明不同,该货币对从两年低位的轻微反弹也显得乏力。 因此,该货币对在本周以 1.2227 美元收盘,略高于 1.2220 美元的 10 日简单移动均线,并几乎平分其 5 日和 15 日均线,分别为 1.2211 美元和 1.2245 美元。 Now, all eyes are on the UK inflation report and the Fed Chairman’s testimony for fresh directional commands for the cable pair. 

日本银行 (BoJ) 行长宣布,如果有必要,货币政策可以进一步放宽。 这引发了一轮日元抛售,结合美元的反弹,解释了 USD/JPY 的上涨趋势。

利用最新的市场新闻提升交易策略,并在 Deriv X Financial账户交易差价合约。

商品

Deriv 的黄金走势图
资料来源:Bloomberg

After starting the week above $1,870, gold prices plummeted below $1,810 on Tuesday, 14 June 2022, for the first time since traders began withdrawing from the market in February.

黄金通常被视为通胀对冲,但在美联储提高短期利率时,其持有机会成本更高,因为该金属不产生利息。

Despite closing the week at $1,840 on Friday, 17 June 2022, gold closed at its lowest level in almost a month as a stronger US dollar and interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, Swiss National Bank, and Bank of England dented the safe-haven metal’s appeal.

As seen in the chart above, gold ended the week trading right above its support level of $1,837. 未来一周对利率政策和通胀预期的调整将显著影响这一贵金属。

与此同时,油价在本月早些时候攀升至接近 125 美元一桶后,突然逆转了长期上升趋势。 On Friday, 17 June 2022, oil prices fell by 6% to a four-week low and ended the week at around $112 a barrel. 这一情况是由于主要中央银行加息,预计将减缓全球经济并限制能源需求。

Cryptocurrencies

Deriv 的比特币走势图
资料来源:彭博社

The crypto market fell below $1 trillion for the first time since January 2021. With a loss of $300 billion in seven days, last week was one of the worst weeks in crypto history.

In the chart above, the price of Bitcoin continued to slump, dropping by 34% in the past 7 days and trading below the $20k mark. However, Bitcoin has clawed its way back to around the $20k mark on Sunday, 19 June 2022. 这一波动可能表明在近期连续下降后迅速反弹,因为机构交易者可能会在比特币达到谷底水平时看到买入机会。

Meanwhile, Ethereum, in particular, performed poorly, going down by 40% over the same period and trading at around $1,000. 

部分原因是,宏观经济因素被指责为加密市场崩溃的原因。 最近,加密货币并未作为抗通胀资产发挥作用,因为股票和债券市场的表现直接影响了比特币。 Inflation has been rising lately, causing central banks to raise interest rates, hitting risky assets. 

由于极端的市场条件,几家加密货币贷款公司已STP提款、转账和掉期请求的业务。 This has indirectly led to a sell-off from crypto traders as this raises concerns about the future of cryptocurrencies. 

通过更完善的交易策略,并在 DTrader 的 financial 市场以期权和 multipliers 交易以充分利用市场机会。

美国股票市场

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资料来源:彭博社

*Net change and net change (%) are based on the weekly closing price change from Monday to Friday.

All 3 major indices finished the week with sharp losses. This was the most significant decline for the S&P 500 since the pandemic hit markets in March 2020. Furthermore, the Dow faced its biggest drop for the week since October 2020. The market has now lost ten times in the last 11 weeks overall. 

Since every company in the index was in the red at least once during the week, the S&P 500 is officially in a bear market.

On Wednesday, 15 June 2022, the Federal Reserve announced a 0.75% interest rate increase — the largest since 1994. Stocks were on the rise, however; after the announcement, the Dow dropped to levels not seen since January 2021. 此外,所有11个股票市场板块也出现了下跌。

在日益增长的衰退担忧中,家得宝、英特尔和摩根大通创下52周新低。 同时,亚马逊、Apple和Netflix等科技巨头下跌了近4%。 

The Fed's comments on Friday, 17 June 2022, echoed their commitment to clamping down inflation after hiking rates by 75 basis points earlier in the week. 现在,交易者期待着鲍威尔本周晚些时候的证词,因为美联储似乎仍然专注于将通胀恢复到2%的目标。

了解了上周金融市场的表现以后,现在您可以改善策略并在 Deriv MT5 Financial 和 Financial STP 账户交易差价合约。

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